1995
Budget in Brief
"There are times in the progress of a people when
fundamental challenges must be faced, fundamental choices
made - a new course charted. For Canada, this is one of those
times.
Our resolve, our values, our very way of life as Canadians
are being tested. The choice is clear.
We can take the path - too well-trodden - of
minimal change, of least resistance, of leadership
lost. Or we can set out on a new road of fundamental reform,
of renewal - of hope restored.
Today, we have made our choice. Today, we take action."
The Honourable Paul Martin, P.C., M.P.
Minister of Finance
February 27, 1995
OPPORTUNITY AND CHALLENGE
"This is a window of extraordinary opportunity. Thanks
to the honest hard work of millions upon millions of
Canadians, our economy is now stronger than it has been for
years."
Canada is enjoying a period of strong economic growth and job
creation.
In the past year, 433,000 jobs have been created.
In 1994, our economic growth was the highest of any G-7
country.
Productivity has surged. Canadaís cost competitiveness is at
its highest level in more than 40 years.
Our trade surplus is up. Canadaís exports have never been
higher.
Business confidence is greater than at any time since 1979.
"However, there are two clouds that loom over our countryís
horizon. One is the uncertainty that some would create over
the future of Quebec. The second cloud is the debt and
deficit. Dealing with that challenge is our purpose today."
The underlying deficit for this fiscal year, 1994-95, will be
$35.3 billion - down $6.7 billion from last year - and $4.4
billion below the target set out in last yearís budget. Even
with
certain one-time restructuring charges related to major reforms
contained in the budget, the 1994-95 deficit will be under
$38 billion - or about $1.8 billion below the $39.7 billion
target.
However, higher than expected interest rates will mean
billions of dollars in new debt charges which threaten future
deficit targets.
Based on very prudent economic assumptions and including
large
contingency reserves, direct action is needed to avoid a
$5.0 billion shortfall from the 1995-96 deficit target of
$32.7 billion - and a $10.6 billion shortfall from the 1996-97
target of 3 per cent of GDP (Gross Domestic Product - the
overall
size of the economy).
Comparison of the economic assumptions
with private sector forecasts
______________________________________________________________
1995 1996
______________________________________________________________
Real output growth (%)
Budget 3.8 2.5
Private sector average 3.9 2.9
Nominal GDP ($ billions)
Budget 787 821
Private sector average 787 827
91-day Treasury bill rate (%)
Budget 8.5 7.5
Private sector average 7.8 6.9
10-year government bond rate (%)
Budget 9.7 9.0
Private sector average 9.0 8.4
______________________________________________________________
PRINCIPLES OF THE BUDGET
"Canadians want their government to spend money and secure
savings in ways that make sense, that reflect their values.
To do that, it is essential that our effort be guided
by clear principles."
- Government must get its own house in order first and focus
on
cutting spending - not raising taxes.
- The priorities of the country must reflect the needs of the
people. Canadians need an economic plan which promotes jobs and
growth.
- The third principle is frugality - every dollar counts.
- Finally, we must be fair - among regions and among
individual
Canadians.
SECURING THE DEFICIT TARGETS
"We have said from the beginning that we would meet our
targets - come what may. Therefore, those gaps must be
closed. With this budget we are closing them."
"We have always said that our 3-per-cent interim target was
a station on the way, not our ultimate destination. Interim
means interim."
The budget closes the gaps and meets the targets. It achieves
cumulative savings of $15.6 billion over the two fiscal years,
1995-96 and 1996-97.
In 1997-98, the measures in the budget will continue to pay
off, with further savings of $13.3 billion.
The budget delivers cumulative savings of $29 billion over
three fiscal years. This is the largest set of actions in any
Canadian budget since postwar demobilization.
The savings come primarily from $25.3 billion of cumulative
spending reductions - nearly $7 of spending cuts for every $1 of
new tax revenue.
There will be a reduction in program spending from
$120 billion in 1993-94 to under $108 billion by 1996-97.
The budgets of government departments are being reduced
dramatically, in several cases halved over the next three years.
The budget proposes a small number of tax measures to
increase
fairness and tighten the tax system and to help meet deficit
targets. Personal income tax rates are not being raised.
Impact of budget measures
______________________________________________________________
3-year[1]
1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 impact
______________________________________________________________
(billions of dollars)
Expenditure reductions
Program review 3.9 5.9 7.2 16.9
Other 0.2 3.5 4.7 8.4
____________________________________________
Total 4.1 9.3 11.9 25.3
Revenue measures
Increase fairness and
tighten tax system 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1
Tax increases 0.9 0.9 0.8 2.6
____________________________________________
Total 0.9 1.3 1.4 3.7
____________________________________________
Total direct impact of
fiscal actions 5.0 10.6 13.3 29.0
Ratio of expenditure reductions/
tax revenue increases 4.4:1 7.3:1 8.3:1 6.9:1
______________________________________________________________
[1] Three-year cumulative impact of deficit reductions shows
the
reduction in net debt, by the end of the 1997-98 fiscal year,
arising from fiscal actions.
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
___________________________________________________________________________
IMPLICATIONS OF BUDGET MEASURES
"We will continue to set firm, short-term deficit goals -
rolling two-year targets, until the deficit is erased."
"We seek not only to attack the deficit. We are
also committed to putting Canadaís debt ratio on
a permanent downward track."
Actions taken in the budget will bring the 1995-96 deficit
down
to $32.7 billion and the 1996-97 deficit to $24.3 billion -
meeting the 3-per-cent target under very prudent economic
assumptions.
The financial requirements - a measure of what the government
must borrow on debt markets - will decline sharply from
$29.8 billion in 1993-94 to $13.7 billion in 1996-97. This
represents 1.7 per cent of the GDP, the lowest borrowing
requirement since 1973-74.
Using this measure, Canada is projected to do better in
1996-97 than the national government of any other G-7 country.
As a share of GDP, program spending will fall rapidly
reaching
13.1 per cent in 1996-97 - the lowest ratio since 1950-51.
By 1996-97, the Canadian economy will finally be growing
faster than the debt, and the debt-to-GDP ratio will begin to
decline. The ratio will continue to fall after that in response
to the permanent spending reductions in the budget.
The deficit could turn out better than forecast.
A substantial contingency reserve has been included -
$2.5 billion in 1995-96 and $3 billion in 1996-97. If it isnít
needed to protect the fiscal position, it will not be spent. It
will go to reducing the deficit even further.
If the economy performs as private sector forecasters expect,
then the deficit could be below $19 billion in 1996-97 - $5.5
billion below the budget forecast. This would mean a decline in
the current 1994-95 debt-to-GDP ratio of 73.2 per cent to under
72 per cent in 1996-97.
__________________________________________________________________________
Summary statement of transactions:
Fiscal outlook with budget measures
______________________________________________________________
1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97
______________________________________________________________
(billions of dollars)
Budgetary transactions
Budgetary revenues 116.0 125.0 133.2 137.4
Program spending -120.0 -118.3 -114.0 -107.9
____________________________________________
Operating balance -4.0 6.7 19.2 29.4
Public debt charges -38.0 -42.0 -49.5 -50.7
____________________________________________
Underlying deficit -42.0 -35.3 -30.2 -21.3
Restructuring charges -2.6
Contingency reserve -2.5 -3.0
____________________________________________
Deficit -42.0 -37.9 -32.7 -24.3
Non-budgetary transactions 12.2 11.9 7.8 10.6
Financial requirements -29.8 -26.0 -24.9 -13.7
(excl. foreign exchange
transactions)
Net public debt 508.2 546.1 578.8 603.1
Gross domestic product 711.7 746.4 787.1 821.3
Percentage of GDP
Budgetary revenues 16.3 16.7 16.9 16.7
Program spending[1] 16.9 16.2 14.5 13.1
Public debt charges 5.3 5.6 6.3 6.2
Deficit -5.9 -5.1 -4.2 -3.0
Financial requirements -4.2 -3.5 -3.2 -1.7
Net public debt 71.4 73.2 73.5 73.4
______________________________________________________________
[1] Includes restructuring charges.
Notes: (-) indicates a net requirement for funds.
(+) indicates a source of funds.
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
__________________________________________________________________________
PLAN FOR ACTION
"Durable fiscal progress, building towards budget balance --
that can only happen if we redesign the very role and
structure of government itself."
"If we secure that reform, it will continue to pay off --
to live on -- in 1997-98 and every year thereafter."
The primary objective of the government is to sustain growth
and
job creation. That can only be achieved in a healthy fiscal
environment. The budget is aimed not only at creating such an
environment, but also at changing the way government operates.
The budget fundamentally reforms what government does and how
it does it.
In many cases, that means smaller government. In all cases it
means smarter government.
To that end, the following actions will be taken as a result
of the budget:
- reform of government programs and procedures to eliminate
waste
and abuse and ensure value for Canadian taxpayers;
- delivery of a new vision of the federal governmentís role
in
the economy that includes substantial reductions in business
subsidies;
- setting parameters within which labour market programs will
be
redesigned to put Canadians back to work;
- reform of the major federal transfers to the provinces
(other
than Equalization) to better reflect responsibilities and fiscal
requirements; and
- a small number of tax measures that remove preferences,
increase fairness and ensure deficit targets are met.
GETTING GOVERNMENT RIGHT
"If our purpose is to get the economy right -- and it is --
then the best thing we can do is to get the government right
-- and this budget does."
Program Review
Program Review was a year-long, top-to-bottom review of all
departmental programs, covering about $52 billion in spending.
Its main objective was to review all categories of federal
government spending - except certain statutory programs such as
Unemployment Insurance, Old Age Security and major transfers to
the provinces - in order to bring about the most effective and
cost-efficient way of delivering programs and services to
Canadians.
The actions resulting from this review will substantially
reduce expenditures over the next three years - $3.9 billion in
1995-96, $5.9 billion in 1996-97 and $7.2 billion in 1997-98. By
1997-98, spending subject to the Program Review will have
declined almost 19 per cent relative to 1994-95.
Spending levels will be halved in some departments. The
federal public service including defence is expected to decline
by about 45,000 or 14 per cent by the time the actions in this
budget are fully implemented.
Chart: Changes in federal departments spending 1997-98
relative to 1994-95
(See ch01e.gif)
Highlights of Program Review
Some programs will be eliminated or substantially reduced:
- transportation subsidies under the Western Grain
Transportation
Act, the Atlantic Region Freight Assistance Act and the Maritime
Freight Rates Act will be terminated;
- dairy subsidies will be reduced by 30 per cent over the
next
two years; and
- total spending on business subsidies will decline from
$3.8 billion in 1994-95 to $1.5 billion by 1997-98 - by close to
60 per cent over the next three years.
Some programs will be redesigned or consolidated to become
more
efficient and cost-effective including:
- Regional Development - agencies will play new roles
focusing on
the needs of small- and medium-sized businesses;
- Canada Coast Guard and the Department of Fisheries and
Oceans
fleets will be integrated; and
- Departments of Health, Agriculture and Agri-Food, Fisheries
and
Oceans, and Industry will work together on measures to improve
the food inspection system.
Some program activities will be devolved to other levels
of government:
- authorities for freshwater habitat management and other
related
inland water responsibilities will be transferred to the
provinces;
- recreational harbours will be divested to municipalities;
- Forest Resource Development Agreements and Mineral
Development
Agreements with the provinces will be discontinued; and
- airports will be transferred to local authorities.
Some activities will be commercialized or privatized
including:
- remaining interest in Cameco Corporation and Petro-Canada;
- Canadian National (CN);
- Air Navigation System; and
- Canada Communication Group.
Cost recovery and user fees will be increased or imposed on
certain services including:
- food and meat inspection, drug approval, fisheries
inspection,
marine services, customized weather forecasting;
- an immigration fee of $975 per adult immigrant; and
- consular and trade development services.
Better management of government:
- the Auditor General will report to Parliament more
frequently -
up to five times annually;
- a new Expenditure Management System will be implemented to
ensure that programs are permanently subject to strict cost
control and evaluation; and
- more productive and streamlined operations through
innovative
service delivery.
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE REFORM
"We need to move away from passive support -- away from
dependence - and move towards active assistance -- towards
independence."
"A key job for unemployment insurance in the future must be
to help Canadians stay off unemployment insurance."
Building on measures in the 1994 budget, the Minister of
Human
Resources Development intends to table legislation this fall to
make further changes to unemployment insurance. The changes will
move current program funding into the areas of unemployment
insurance which enhance the employability of Canadians,
contribute to a healthy economy and encourage job creation.
Canadaís strong economic performance and unemployment
insurance reform, which the government intends to have in place
no later than July 1, 1996, will reduce the overall size of the
program by a minimum of 10 per cent. This overall reform,
combined with improvements in the administration of the
unemployment insurance program, will secure savings of
$700 million in 1996-97. Reform will be designed and carried out
in a manner that eases the transitional impact of changes in
provinces where there is a history of reliance on unemployment
insurance.
With no increase in premium rates, the cumulative surplus in
the Unemployment Insurance Account will be allowed to rise above
$5 billion through to the end of 1996. This surplus will be
maintained and will serve as a buffer to mitigate unemployment
insurance premium rate increases during periods of slowing
economic growth. The result of these measures will be a
unemployment insurance program that does a much better job of
investing in people, and lower, more stable unemployment
insurance premium rates that encourage job creation.
A NEW TRANSFER TO THE PROVINCES
"We will never secure the sort of structural change that we
need without reforming the system of transfers to the
provinces."
"This budget sets out some key parameters, but
as we go forward, we are committed to a co-operative
approach."
The Canada Social Transfer
The government is giving one year notice that a new block
grant
to the provinces called the Canada Social Transfer (CST) will
begin in 1996-97. It will continue the evolution away from cost-
sharing in areas of provincial responsibility, which has been a
source of entanglement and irritation in federal-provincial
relations.
The major transfers to the provinces under the Canada
Assistance Plan (CAP) and Established Programs Financing (EPF)
will be replaced by the CST. As is currently the case with both
EPF and CAP, the new transfer will be a combination of cash and
tax points.
In 1996-97, CST funding will be set at $26.9 billion, a
reduction of $2.5 billion compared with the projected transfer
entitlement under the existing set of programs. In 1997-98,
funding will be reduced further to $25.1 billion, a reduction of
$4.5 billion, or about 3 per cent of total provincial government
revenues.
___________________________________________________________________________
Major transfer entitlements to provinces
_____________________________________________________________
1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98
_____________________________________________________________
(millions of dollars)
Current arrangements
CAP 7,719 7,952 7,952
EPF-PSE 6,108 6,177 6,251
EPF-Health 15,128 15,299 15,483
______________________________________________
Total 28,955 29,428 29,686
Canada Social Transfer 26,900 25,100
Equalization 8,034 8,332 8,870 9,270 9,618
______________________________________________
Total major transfer
entitlements of
which:[1] 36,212 36,974 37,745 35,351 33,889
Tax point
transfers[1] 11,290 11,729 12,572 13,248 13,968
Cash transfers 24,922 25,245 25,173 22,103 19,921
Change in entitlements
from 1994-95 levels 1,623 3,085
___________________________________________________________
[1] Equalization associated with EPF/CST tax points appears
in
both Equalization and EPF/CST entitlements. It has been
subtracted from "Total major transfer entitlements" and "Tax
point transfers" to avoid double counting.
__________________________________________________________________________
The new transfer will free the provinces to pursue innovation
by eliminating the restrictive cost-sharing feature of the
Canada
Assistance Plan.
The new transfer will not however be totally unconditional.
The federal government will continue to enforce the Canada
Health
Act and the provinces will be required, as they are now under
the
rules of CAP, to provide social assistance without any minimum
residency requirements.
The federal government, under the leadership of the Minister
of Human Resources Development, will invite all provincial
governments to work together on developing, through mutual
consent, a set of shared principles and objectives that could
underlie the new transfer.
Following consultations with the provinces, the Equalization
program was renewed by Parliament for five years beginning in
1994-95. No changes are proposed in the budget. Territorial
Formula Financing has not previously been subject to federal
budgetary restraint. However, in view of the current fiscal
situation, entitlements will be frozen in 1995-96 at 1994-95
levels and the 1996-97 Gross Expenditure Base in the formula
will
be reduced by 5 per cent for both the Northwest Territories and
the Yukon.
The reduction in major transfers to the provinces is less
than
the cuts in other areas of federal program spending.
PROTECTING CANADAíS SENIORS
"One of the greatest reforms ever provided by a
Canadian government has been the provision of a
decent support for elderly Canadians -- who have given -- and
continue to give - so much to their families and to their
country."
"This government is absolutely committed to
providing a fair and sustainable system of protection
for Canadaís seniors."
The government is committed to take action to reform Canada's
retirement income system on a fairer and sustainable basis. The
first part of this system - tax assistance for private pensions
-
is being modified, as described in the next section. The second
part - the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) - will be addressed this
fall when Finance Ministers meet to review the financing of CPP,
as part of its regular five-year review as mandated by law.
The third pillar of the pension income system - Old Age
Security (OAS) and the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) - will
be reviewed later this year. The Minister of Human Resources
Development, in collaboration with the Minister of Finance, will
release a paper which will outline other changes required to
ensure a fair and sustainable public pension system for future
generations of Canadians. The goal will be to legislate changes
to take effect in 1997. Consultations with seniors, and with
Canadians generally, will take place when the paper is released.
In the interim, the budget introduces two changes to the
administration of the OAS benefit.
Effective July 1996, OAS payments will be calculated and paid
out net of the high-income recovery amounts, based on income
reported on the previous yearís tax return. This will not affect
the amount of benefits provided to seniors. The only change is
that the OAS benefit will be reduced before it is sent out
rather
than being taxed back after individuals have already received
their cheque.
Also effective July 1996, OAS recipients who are no longer
resident in Canada will have to file a statement of their world-
wide income in order to receive OAS benefits. Currently, non-
residents with incomes above $53,215 escape the high-income
recovery. They are treated more favourably than Canadian
residents.
A FAIRER TAX SYSTEM:
SHARING THE BURDEN OF DEFICIT REDUCTION
"There is not one, solitary Canadian who likes taxes.
And certainly, they are far higher than any of us would like
them to be."
"But the issue of taxes is more than a matter of rates.
It is a question of equity."
The government is aware of the heavy tax burden already borne
by Canadians and the cost imposed on the economy as a whole.
Thus, the budget does not raise federal personal income tax
rates. The tax measures are largely directed at removing
preferences and increasing fairness and helping to meet deficit
targets.
________________________________________________________________________
Impact of tax measures
_____________________________________________________________
1995-96 1996-97 1997-98
_____________________________________________________________
(millions of dollars)
Measures to increase fairness
and tighten the tax system
Improving fairness in tax-assisted
retirement saving 15 95 160
Strengthen Revenue Canadaís
ability to enforce the law Prevents revenue losses
Additional tax on investment
income of private corporations 40 120 120
Eliminate deferral of tax
on business income - 170 300
Restrict SR&ED tax incentives - 15 15
Family trusts Prevents revenue losses
Re-targeted film incentive small small small
________________________________________
Subtotal 55 400 595
Increases in tax rates
Corporate
Large corporations tax 145 155 160
Corporate surtax 115 115 120
Temporary capital tax
increase for large
deposit-taking institutions 60 40 -
Excise
Tobacco 65 65 65
Gasoline 500 500 500
________________________________________
Subtotal 885 875 845
Total 940 1275 1440
_____________________________________________________________________
Improving Fairness in Tax-Assisted Retirement Savings
The principle underlying these changes is that tax assistance
should be provided for contributions to registered savings plans
based on earnings up to 21/2 times the average wage, and no
more.
Pensions and RRSPs: The dollar limit on deductible RRSP
contributions will be reduced to $13,500 for 1996 and 1997. The
limit then will be increased by $1,000 a year to reach $15,500
in
1999. The dollar limit on contributions to money-purchase
pension
plans will also be reduced to $13,500 in 1996 and then increased
by $1,000 a year to reach $15,500 in 1998. The dollar limits on
contributions to deferred profit sharing plans (DPSPs) will
continue to be one half the contribution limits for money-
purchase pension plans. The maximum pension limit for defined-
benefit pension plans will be frozen at its current level
through
1998. The pension and DPSP limits will be indexed beginning in
1999 and the RRSP limit in 2000.
The government will investigate the possibility of modifying
RRSP limits, without incurring additional revenue costs, to
restore lost RRSP room to employees who leave pension plans
before retirement.
RRSP Overcontribution Allowance: The overcontribution
allowance of $8,000 will be reduced to $2,000 in 1996. A penalty
tax of 1 per cent applies to excess contributions above the
allowance.
Retiring Allowance Rollovers: The rollover of retiring
allowances to RRSPs, currently permitted at up to $2,000 per
year
of service, will be phased out by reducing the limit to zero for
years of service after 1995. The allowances for years of service
up to, and including 1995, are not affected.
Locked-in RRSPs: Holders of locked-in RRSPs, currently
limited
to purchases of life annuities with those funds, will be allowed
to purchase Life Income Funds through an amendment to the
Pension
Benefits Standards Act (PBSA).
Increasing Fairness and Tightening the Tax System
Strengthening Revenue Canadaís Ability to Enforce the Law: To
ensure that all Canadians pay their fair share of taxes and to
reduce unfair competition for legitimate businesses, the budget
strengthens Revenue Canadaís ability to enforce the tax laws.
Measures include: strengthening its auditing of large
corporations, new reporting requirements for the construction
industry and for foreign investments, and penalties for
interference with the remittance of source deductions and GST.
Tax on Investment Income of Private Corporations: Effective
July 1, 1995, a refundable tax will be levied on the investment
income received by Canadian-controlled private corporations.
This
tax will reduce the current deferral advantage for investment
income received by private corporations when the corporate tax
rate applied to this income is lower than the marginal tax rate
of the individual shareholder.
Deferral Advantages for Business and Professional Income:
Effective for taxation years starting after 1994, individuals
will be required to report their business and professional
income
on a calendar year basis. Currently, they have the option to
choose any date as their year end for reporting such income.
This
can result in an initial delay in reporting income and a
consequent delay in payment of tax on an ongoing basis. A ten
year transition period will preclude a large one-time tax
increase for many of these taxpayers.
Restrictions on SR&ED Tax Incentives: Pending the completion
of a review of information technology R&D, all such R&D
performed
after February 27, 1995 by financial institutions will be
excluded from the definition of Scientific Research and
Experimental Development (SR&ED).
Family Trusts: The existing election to defer the application
of the 21-year rule will be eliminated January 1, 1999. To
restrict income splitting, the "preferred beneficiary election
mechanism" will be repealed for taxation years of trusts
commencing after 1995, except for elections in respect of
persons
with mental or physical disabilities.
Re-Targeted Film Incentive: Government assistance available
to
certified Canadian film productions will be re-targeted in order
to maximize the benefit to such productions.
Corporate Tax Rate Increases
Large Corporations Tax (LCT) Rate: The rate of LCT will rise
immediately from 0.2 per cent to 0.225 per cent of capital used
in Canada in excess of $10 million, a tax increase of 12.5 per
cent.
Corporate Surtax: The corporate surtax, currently levied at a
rate of 3 per cent of basic federal corporate income tax, will
be
increased to 4 per cent - effective immediately.
Tax on Large Deposit-Taking Institutions: The capital tax
imposed on banks and other large deposit-taking institutions
will
be temporarily increased. The tax will take effect immediately
and will remain until October 31, 1996.
Excise Tax Increases
Tobacco Products: Moving towards re-establishing a uniform
federal excise tax rate, the federal taxes on cigarettes sold
for
consumption in Quebec and Ontario - the two provinces that
undertook the deepest reductions last year - were increased by
60 cents per carton of 200 cigarettes effective February 18,
1995.
Gasoline: Federal excise tax on leaded and unleaded gasoline
will be increased by 1.5 cents per litre effective immediately.
CONCLUSION
"This government wants Canadians to be able to judge it not
on its rhetoric, but on its results; not on more promises made,
but on real progress secured.
This budget sets this country on a sure course of fiscal
responsibility and government renewal.
Canadians can have confidence now in a country that has put
the era of band-aid budgets behind it -- and exercised the
leadership necessary for a cure.
Canadians can have confidence now in Canada becoming one of
the most attractive places in the world to invest, creating
jobs."
© 1995 Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada